Castro Death Guessing Game – redux?

Who would’ve thought four years ago that Castro would still be around now? We certainly didn’t on this Blag, because we played the Castro Death Guessing Game and we all got it way wrong. Even the eventual winner stagiaire guessed over two years ago. Also, the people we thought might die before him are all still alive. We suck at predicting Death. Wonder if I should do something like that again? But with whom? Using Castro again seems like cheating. Maybe Thatcher?

[edit] The commenters have decided it is to be Castro again! *lol*
Rule recap for those who can’t be bothered reading the original:
1. give a date when you think he will die.
2. list someone else you think will die before him.
Whoever’s closest in 1. wins. 2. is just for fun (or extra morbidity).
The winner receives… something I haven’t decided on yet. *lol*